Assessing Seismic Hazard by Simulating Scenario Earthquakes and Ground Motion: A Case Study in North China

Assessing Seismic Hazard by Simulating Scenario Earthquakes and Ground Motion: A Case Study in North China

论文摘要

Seismic shaking is one of major hazards caused by large, damaging earthquakes. Because of limited instrumental recordings, numerical simulations of ground motions from scenario earthquakes on active faults within realistic geologic structure can provide critical estimates of seismic shaking amplitude and duration from potential earthquakes, in particular near earthquake faults.Traditionally, ground motion simulations have been mainly using kinematic source models, in which rupture propagation and slip distribution on earthquake faults are prescribed, which make it very difficult for kinematic models to capture rupture complexities observed in large earthquakes that can impact near-field ground motion significantly. Recent efforts are made to use dynamic rupture models in ground motion simulations to incorporate more physics and to capture realistic complexities in earthquake sources [Andrews and Barall, 2011]. In this study, we use a dynamic finite element method [Duan and Oglesby, 2006; Duan, 2010, 2012] to simulate dynamic ruptures of scenario earthquakes on a recently identified 160-km-long seismic gap along the Tianjin-Hejing-Cixian(THC) fault [Yin et al., 2014] and seismic wave propagation in the North China basin, to assess ground shaking hazards in the area from potential earthquakes on the seismic gap. We find that earthquake source processes and 3-D basin structure play important roles in ground motion amplitude and duration [Duan et al., 2017; Liu and Duan, 2018]. Combination of rupture directivity and 3-D basin structure can result in large-amplitude(>1 m/s) ground shaking near the fault. Sedimentary basins can amplify and elongate seismic shaking. In particular, a deep and closed Quaternary basin between Beijing and Tianjin can lead to ground shaking of tens of cm/s for more than 1 min.Ground shaking at the newly built Beijng Daxing International Airport is relatively weak(< 0.1 m/s)from scenario earthquakes on this seismic gap.

论文目录

文章来源

类型: 国际会议

作者: DUAN Benchun,LIU Dunyu

来源: 第九届世界华人地质科学研讨会 2019-06-01

年度: 2019

分类: 基础科学

专业: 地质学,地球物理学

单位: Center for Tectonophysics, Department of Geology and Geophysics, Texas A&M University, College Station

分类号: P315.8

DOI: 10.26914/c.cnkihy.2019.028318

页码: 77

总页数: 1

文件大小: 57k

下载量: 1

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Assessing Seismic Hazard by Simulating Scenario Earthquakes and Ground Motion: A Case Study in North China
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