CMIP6情景模式比较计划(ScenarioMIP)概况与评述

CMIP6情景模式比较计划(ScenarioMIP)概况与评述

论文摘要

情景模式比较计划(ScenarioMIP)是第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)最重要的子计划之一。该子计划基于不同共享社会经济路径可能发生的能源结构所产生的人为排放及土地利用变化,设计了一系列新的情景预估试验,为未来气候变化机理研究以及气候变化减缓和适应研究提供关键的数据支持。文中将重点介绍ScenarioMIP的试验设计及模式参与情况,并对其应用前景加以讨论和展望。

论文目录

  • 引言
  • 1 试验设计
  •   1.1 Tier-1试验
  •   1.2 Tier-2试验
  •     (1)21世纪情景试验
  •     (2)初始场扰动集合试验
  •     (3)长期延伸试验
  •   1.3 试验强迫场
  •   1.4 参加ScenarioMIP的模式简介
  • 2 ScenarioMIP计划评述
  • 文章来源

    类型: 期刊论文

    作者: 张丽霞,陈晓龙,辛晓歌

    关键词: 情景模式比较计划,情景,预估

    来源: 气候变化研究进展 2019年05期

    年度: 2019

    分类: 基础科学

    专业: 气象学

    单位: 中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG),中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心,中国气象局国家气候中心

    基金: 国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFA06065001),国家自然科学基金项目(41675076,41605057)

    分类号: P467

    页码: 519-525

    总页数: 7

    文件大小: 2328K

    下载量: 767

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    CMIP6情景模式比较计划(ScenarioMIP)概况与评述
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